The chaotic drop of WTI May contract reminds us of the grim time ahead in the oil market. We take a quick look at how prices might recover. … More Quick Take: What Is the 2020 Oil Recovery Going to Look Like?
As the decade draws to a close, we note a quiet but staggering milestone – the world consumed more than 100 million barrels of oil per day. In addition, the shale oil & gas revolution in North America has upended the established geopolitical order…. … More 2020 Oil Markets Outlook – 10 Things to Watch
The upcoming OPEC meeting promises to be the most interesting one since 2016. Why? … More Is The Upcoming OPEC Meeting Going to Change Anything?
Markets in the first few months were kind to journalists/analysts and global macro traders alike. Recently, trading themes developed so rapidly they created too much overlapping effect. … More Signal Overload: Market in Transition
Over the past few months on Wall Street, firm after firm has issued analyses that point to the new dawn of commodities in 2018 and beyond. At the risk of sounding cliché, we agree. In fact, since May of 2017…. … More Who’s Afraid of Volatility? Commodities to Shine in 2018
2017 was the year of Bitcoin (and Trump). One can hardly turn left without hearing about them. While fundamentally I believe in block chain technology and bitcoin’s long term viability… … More Seven Years In, Bitcoin is As Confusing As Ever
In this white paper, we explore the state-of-the-art, the threats and opportunities presented by AI. … More White Paper – Artificial Intelligence and Trading
We wrote about the possible scenarios of the Trump administration back in January. Now we will look at how they played out.
Back when the markets responded enthusiastically about the new alignment in the White House and Congress, there was an underlying optimism that Trump would behave differently as president than a candidate on the trail… … More Trump Trade Unravels
Long before the election upset of 2016, economists in the U.S. were lamenting the decreasing effectiveness of monetary stimulus and clamoring for the fiscal kind. No longer. With an acquiescent Republican Congress, the Trump administration can, realistically, effect some sweeping changes that represent fundamental shifts in the fiscal, monetary, trade, and tax regimes. … More A Survey of Macro Landscape in 2017
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